An interesting barometer of where Trump is in the public consciousness has been on Instagram. Celebrities are photographed dancing and joyous for Kamala, but in the comments section about 75% of positive comments are for Trump. *Most* people can't wait for Kamala to disappear.
I noticed that same Trump support.....or hatred of Democrats....on X and on Facebook as well. I just think Democrats think social media is beneath them.....and don't participate.
The polling for the 2024 election since August has been instructive really in only one regard, in that it reveals the looming fate of the GOP as the dividend for its decades of self-dealing and complicity in remaking the demographics of the nation through mass immigration is now being paid.
Whatever happens on Tuesday, the Republicans’ date with destiny might be delayed, but the decay is now so deep that it will not be indefinitely denied.
By virtually any metric, Kamala Harris and Tim Walz are the most radical Left major party candidates in American history and yet they are trailing within the margin of error in states like Arizona, Georgia and Nevada—all three ‘must win’ electoral properties for Donald Trump and JD Vance. And all three of those states’ demographics have been deeply reconfigured by mass immigration. North Carolina too.
Trump’s sole path back to the White House has always rested on the ballots of white working-class voters, whose fury alone carried him there in 2016.
But Trump’s subsequent rank betrayal of the white working-class—by abandoning his signature campaign vow of building a border wall and his paralysis in the face of the radical Left’s mighty summer offensive across America in 2020 that unleashed the Democratic Party’s shock troops and savages to pillage cities before putting them to the torch—cost him a significant share of that same working-class white vote in November 2020 and the election with it.
While seemingly neck and neck in the polls, the Trump/Vance campaign has spent considerable time and resources appealing to voter blocs that break for the Democrats by margins of 90-percent or more [black Americans] and 60-percent or more [Latinos]. It’s an odd tactic considering that if Trump/Vance turned out just four or five-percent more of the white working-class vote nationally and held his 2016 margins in that demographic, he would triumph decisively and likely produce enough coattails to sweep the Republicans back into controlling both chambers of Congress.
Instead, Trump seems content to breakdance for the brothers in the barbershop in the hope he might net up to 12-percent of their vote versus the GOP’s usual eight-percent table crumbs.
If he does pull out a win on Tuesday, it will ultimately be the result of enough working-class and middle-class white voters deciding they had no other choice and were sufficiently motivated to throw a ‘Hail Mary’ ballot for Trump v.2 in the desperate hope that what remains of their culture might linger a little longer before the dying of the Western light.
This might be our last gasp. Can’t see GOP winning another Presidential race after this year giving demographic shifts which will only worsen with time. But at least their donors are happy
I used to listen to Sirius radio in 2016 and checked in regularly on their Politico channel to see what they were talking about. All they ever talked about was an inevitable Hillary victory and who was hanging out at Huma's place in Georgetown. There was no talk about Trump, really. Even then, I thought that was insane.
What exactly leads you to believe left-leaning pollsters have been humiliated, are suffering a hangover, and wish to repair the errors of their past mistakes? On the contrary, I think they actually *like* overstating Hillary/Biden/Harris, then as now, by 3 to 5 points.
I don't know, Ann, this seems like pure speculation....it may be true and it would get you into an I told you so position if it comes true. But I think the fake polling in 2016 was the industry wanting to believe their push polling, along with the elites' faith in their sneering "OF COURSE Trump won't win" standpoint. The push polling was then manipulated to meet that narrative. What specific evidence would tell us that this time it's potential overcompensation, and is there any such marker? I suspect it could go both ways....it could also not be close the other way and the fake horse race polls are manipulated match their hopefulness.
If polls were even handed there would not be a bizzilion of them, they are all biased. The hatred for Trump is real and the usual suspects won’t be damaged by a Harris win. The same cannot be said for those fighting to tread water. I’m hoping she gets blown out and never seen again.
Thank you Ann for dragging we who care about our beautiful country to (and hopefully) over the non-leftist-radical finish line next week. A mix of emotions, yes. Mostly of immense weariness that after all the billboards, and thirty second ads, and snipes, and cupcake interviews, that the bonafide chosen President will remember who they represent. We the People. And govern accordingly. What a ride this campaign has been. Please. Vote! So we the collective people are not again taken for another ride.
Polls may be inaccurate (biased) either intentionally or unintentionally.
Intentional bias can be used to influence the likelihood of voting by one side's supporters over the other, or else to help convince the public that the post-election outcome they are presented with is genuine.
Unintentional polling bias will be due in part to non-response bias:
To get 1000 responders to a poll, 1500 people may have to be contacted, as 500 will either be out, refuse to pick up the phone, or else refuse to answer the questions.
Unless the propensity of these is independent of voting intentions, the 1000 responses will not be representative of the voting population, even if the full 1500 contacted are.
The likelihood of being out will depend on working habits, hesitancy to answer unidentified calls will depend on general wariness, while refusal to answer the questions will depend on the perceived risk and consequences from doxing.
An interesting barometer of where Trump is in the public consciousness has been on Instagram. Celebrities are photographed dancing and joyous for Kamala, but in the comments section about 75% of positive comments are for Trump. *Most* people can't wait for Kamala to disappear.
I noticed that same Trump support.....or hatred of Democrats....on X and on Facebook as well. I just think Democrats think social media is beneath them.....and don't participate.
I'm not the biggest Trump fan but I will always be grateful to him for saving us from that screeching harpy.
The polling for the 2024 election since August has been instructive really in only one regard, in that it reveals the looming fate of the GOP as the dividend for its decades of self-dealing and complicity in remaking the demographics of the nation through mass immigration is now being paid.
Whatever happens on Tuesday, the Republicans’ date with destiny might be delayed, but the decay is now so deep that it will not be indefinitely denied.
By virtually any metric, Kamala Harris and Tim Walz are the most radical Left major party candidates in American history and yet they are trailing within the margin of error in states like Arizona, Georgia and Nevada—all three ‘must win’ electoral properties for Donald Trump and JD Vance. And all three of those states’ demographics have been deeply reconfigured by mass immigration. North Carolina too.
Trump’s sole path back to the White House has always rested on the ballots of white working-class voters, whose fury alone carried him there in 2016.
But Trump’s subsequent rank betrayal of the white working-class—by abandoning his signature campaign vow of building a border wall and his paralysis in the face of the radical Left’s mighty summer offensive across America in 2020 that unleashed the Democratic Party’s shock troops and savages to pillage cities before putting them to the torch—cost him a significant share of that same working-class white vote in November 2020 and the election with it.
While seemingly neck and neck in the polls, the Trump/Vance campaign has spent considerable time and resources appealing to voter blocs that break for the Democrats by margins of 90-percent or more [black Americans] and 60-percent or more [Latinos]. It’s an odd tactic considering that if Trump/Vance turned out just four or five-percent more of the white working-class vote nationally and held his 2016 margins in that demographic, he would triumph decisively and likely produce enough coattails to sweep the Republicans back into controlling both chambers of Congress.
Instead, Trump seems content to breakdance for the brothers in the barbershop in the hope he might net up to 12-percent of their vote versus the GOP’s usual eight-percent table crumbs.
If he does pull out a win on Tuesday, it will ultimately be the result of enough working-class and middle-class white voters deciding they had no other choice and were sufficiently motivated to throw a ‘Hail Mary’ ballot for Trump v.2 in the desperate hope that what remains of their culture might linger a little longer before the dying of the Western light.
TheCromerReader.com
This might be our last gasp. Can’t see GOP winning another Presidential race after this year giving demographic shifts which will only worsen with time. But at least their donors are happy
Ode to Ann Coulter
O radiant mind, with words so fierce and true,
A towering beacon in fields of dim dissent,
Where voices cower, you boldly break through,
Searing darkness with flames heaven-sent.
Thy wit, a blade both swift and keen,
Cuts through the tangled webs of lies,
In the echoing halls where few are seen
To speak as boldly or rise as high.
In thee, courage and beauty find embrace,
With grace unshaken, fierce and bright;
A lioness with wisdom’s face,
Unveiling shadows in piercing light.
With daring heart, you lead the call,
An oracle for ages new,
Ann Coulter, to you we rise and fall—
To truth’s bright voice, we bow anew.
There is zero reasons to believe any polls! They are all propaganda garbage.
The reason that NY Times headline and story are so appealing to Ann is simple.
She CAN’T WAIT for Trump-Vance to lose so she can tweet triumphantly,
I TOLD YOU SO!
ANY OTHER REPUBLICAN COULD HAVE BEATEN KAMALA!
Watch and see if for America and White people the worst happens on Tuesday and my prediction about Ann is correct.
I used to listen to Sirius radio in 2016 and checked in regularly on their Politico channel to see what they were talking about. All they ever talked about was an inevitable Hillary victory and who was hanging out at Huma's place in Georgetown. There was no talk about Trump, really. Even then, I thought that was insane.
What exactly leads you to believe left-leaning pollsters have been humiliated, are suffering a hangover, and wish to repair the errors of their past mistakes? On the contrary, I think they actually *like* overstating Hillary/Biden/Harris, then as now, by 3 to 5 points.
I don't know, Ann, this seems like pure speculation....it may be true and it would get you into an I told you so position if it comes true. But I think the fake polling in 2016 was the industry wanting to believe their push polling, along with the elites' faith in their sneering "OF COURSE Trump won't win" standpoint. The push polling was then manipulated to meet that narrative. What specific evidence would tell us that this time it's potential overcompensation, and is there any such marker? I suspect it could go both ways....it could also not be close the other way and the fake horse race polls are manipulated match their hopefulness.
Thanks Ann..!
If polls were even handed there would not be a bizzilion of them, they are all biased. The hatred for Trump is real and the usual suspects won’t be damaged by a Harris win. The same cannot be said for those fighting to tread water. I’m hoping she gets blown out and never seen again.
Ann Coulter LIVE on Chrissie Mayr Podcast! Election Update! Trump VS Kamala
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=jQxeRphQ02M
Thank you Ann for dragging we who care about our beautiful country to (and hopefully) over the non-leftist-radical finish line next week. A mix of emotions, yes. Mostly of immense weariness that after all the billboards, and thirty second ads, and snipes, and cupcake interviews, that the bonafide chosen President will remember who they represent. We the People. And govern accordingly. What a ride this campaign has been. Please. Vote! So we the collective people are not again taken for another ride.
Ann you're usually right (excuse the pun), but please don't scare me!
Polls may be inaccurate (biased) either intentionally or unintentionally.
Intentional bias can be used to influence the likelihood of voting by one side's supporters over the other, or else to help convince the public that the post-election outcome they are presented with is genuine.
Unintentional polling bias will be due in part to non-response bias:
To get 1000 responders to a poll, 1500 people may have to be contacted, as 500 will either be out, refuse to pick up the phone, or else refuse to answer the questions.
Unless the propensity of these is independent of voting intentions, the 1000 responses will not be representative of the voting population, even if the full 1500 contacted are.
The likelihood of being out will depend on working habits, hesitancy to answer unidentified calls will depend on general wariness, while refusal to answer the questions will depend on the perceived risk and consequences from doxing.
All of these may well vary by voting intentions.