Amen Ann on "flip flops." I have been ranting about this for weeks. When she answers "her values have not changed" she means her positions have not changed, "just let me pretend something has vaguely changed so that I can fool the rubes into voting for me." "Follow the law" is the same idiotic dodge. It means "I will change nothing and keep allowing transgender illegal immigrant surgeries in prison, I just cannot say that because most voters think this is insane."
After being in the undecided camp, I’ve decided to vote for Trump! Supreme Court justice Louis Brandeis was right sunshine is the best disinfectant. Everything bad about Trump is known!
This is the first real answer I have heard to this question. I actually asked a RCP reporter about their comparison of 2020 and 2016 and whether it might not be valid because pollsters have adjusted to account for past failures. Needless to say, I did not get an answer. My fear is that we go into Romney-esque (or pick your team, mine is the Jets so I know this well) prevent defense and wind up losing. If Trump is truly winning, we ought to be running up the score to beat the margin of steal as Steyn puts it and try to get Sheehy, Hovde, Moreno, Rogers, McCormick, and even Lake over the finish line along with as many House members as possible.
I subscribe to Nate Silver's Model Talk and have read most of everything he's written about this election and have been participating in the chats there too. It's too much for me to synthesize, but these people are really in the weeds. They read about the different poll's methodologies and implications about the upweighting methods.
I buy into the Trump momentum narrative right now because Harris is such a vulnerable and weak candidate. But his Substack keeps my expectations tempered, and has me persuaded it still could be a close race/tossup/loss.
Very interesting and informative podcast as always Ann!
I'm wondering if you have an opinion on the value / relevance of the Polymarket odds?
They're currently showing 62 / 38 in favor of Trump, and I've heard several pundits suggest that they are more accurate than other polling because they represent people putting actual, real money behind their opinions.
The betting markets are a better indicator than polls today for a very simple reason.
While polls measure opinions and plans, these days the betting markets reflect people’s judgments who are studying actual voting patterns in this election, which thanks to changes began voting a couple of weeks ago.
Studying turnout volume and real voting districts against previous years is much more accurate than taking intent as gospel. You just know that the early voting data is being crunched with baseball-like thoroughness.
Great stuff throughout. Yes, Trump is a "vulgarian." Great term. I also recall a few comedians that would refer to Milton Berle in the same manner. You can probably find comments on YouTube and everyone would laugh. People laughed at Trump's comments as well. No big deal. I've never seen Kamala Harris in person - had to laugh to hear Ann call her "freakishly short." I'm from Pennsylvania - will let you know if I win.
I didn't watch any of the DNC, but I've heard or read that Obama made crude commentary similar to that that outraged Jake Tapper when spoken by Donald Trump. Is that true?
You don't, obviously, as Ricochet keeps all of their podcasts in front of the paywall. But when you support them, you're supporting the production of this podcast.
Congratulations, Ann, for calling out the Error of the Majority Mindset.
For decades I’ve been listening to conservative leaders confidently proclaim that any day now “the American People” are going to rise up and correct the wrong-headed policies of the government. But none of them realized that the American People no longer were what the leader had always assumed — a White Christian majority.
That majority mindset remained while the percentage of Whites declined and the educated elite of that majority was educated to be universalist and egalitarian.
The only solution is to drop the failed nonsense of egalitarian and universalist ideologies. That is the past, just like “The American People” are.
The future is White Identity. There is no other way, especially in a world that is only 8% White.
No one’s going to be nice to us. (Nice is a White concept.) The world hates and envies us. Our successes make them feel bad, so they criticize us while demanding we acknowledge how great they are. We give them modern life and they respond by telling us we owe them more. Enough!
I think anyone who takes Trump’s “whale psychiatrist” comment seriously should be deported and that person’s property confiscated to help save Social Security.
Ann in her first segment sounds like National Review, which editorialized that the best result would be a Republican Senate to block President Harris’s to-do list.
No wonder she’s on the Ricochet network, a Never Trumper redoubt.
Loved the podcast! But one thing I’d like to say on the subject of Michigan/Minnesota( sorry can’t remember which one) being angry that so many people have moved in because they can’t afford a house and you said you didn’t understand because if you have a house, your good, your house value goes up and you make money. My disagreement is not everybody owns a home, a lot of people rent. And it has become basically impossible for them to afford to buy a house. Rent has been absolutely ridiculous, I can understand anger from renters and young people getting a start, but home owners your right they’ve got a sweet deal.
Amen Ann on "flip flops." I have been ranting about this for weeks. When she answers "her values have not changed" she means her positions have not changed, "just let me pretend something has vaguely changed so that I can fool the rubes into voting for me." "Follow the law" is the same idiotic dodge. It means "I will change nothing and keep allowing transgender illegal immigrant surgeries in prison, I just cannot say that because most voters think this is insane."
After being in the undecided camp, I’ve decided to vote for Trump! Supreme Court justice Louis Brandeis was right sunshine is the best disinfectant. Everything bad about Trump is known!
2 Corinthians 6: 4 But in all things approving ourselves as the ministers of God, in much patience, in afflictions, in necessities, in distresses,
5 In stripes, in imprisonments, in tumults, in labours, in watchings, in fastings;
6 By pureness, by knowledge, by long suffering, by kindness, by the Holy Ghost, by love unfeigned,
7 By the word of truth, by the power of God, by the armour of righteousness on the right hand and on the left,
8 By honour and dishonour, by evil report and good report: as deceivers, and yet true;
9 As unknown, and yet well known; as dying, and, behold, we live; as chastened, and not killed;
10 As sorrowful, yet alway rejoicing; as poor, yet making many rich; as having nothing, and yet possessing all things.
A lot of polls are upweighting the polls in favor of Trump to try to offset the bias. The bias might not be there this time around, we'll see.
I still think Trump wins, and I think he will get the popular vote too.
This is the first real answer I have heard to this question. I actually asked a RCP reporter about their comparison of 2020 and 2016 and whether it might not be valid because pollsters have adjusted to account for past failures. Needless to say, I did not get an answer. My fear is that we go into Romney-esque (or pick your team, mine is the Jets so I know this well) prevent defense and wind up losing. If Trump is truly winning, we ought to be running up the score to beat the margin of steal as Steyn puts it and try to get Sheehy, Hovde, Moreno, Rogers, McCormick, and even Lake over the finish line along with as many House members as possible.
I subscribe to Nate Silver's Model Talk and have read most of everything he's written about this election and have been participating in the chats there too. It's too much for me to synthesize, but these people are really in the weeds. They read about the different poll's methodologies and implications about the upweighting methods.
I buy into the Trump momentum narrative right now because Harris is such a vulnerable and weak candidate. But his Substack keeps my expectations tempered, and has me persuaded it still could be a close race/tossup/loss.
Very interesting and informative podcast as always Ann!
I'm wondering if you have an opinion on the value / relevance of the Polymarket odds?
They're currently showing 62 / 38 in favor of Trump, and I've heard several pundits suggest that they are more accurate than other polling because they represent people putting actual, real money behind their opinions.
https://polymarket.com/
When assessing the betting markets remember the cardinal rule: The house always wins.
The betting markets are a better indicator than polls today for a very simple reason.
While polls measure opinions and plans, these days the betting markets reflect people’s judgments who are studying actual voting patterns in this election, which thanks to changes began voting a couple of weeks ago.
Studying turnout volume and real voting districts against previous years is much more accurate than taking intent as gospel. You just know that the early voting data is being crunched with baseball-like thoroughness.
The betting markets reflect that research.
Great stuff throughout. Yes, Trump is a "vulgarian." Great term. I also recall a few comedians that would refer to Milton Berle in the same manner. You can probably find comments on YouTube and everyone would laugh. People laughed at Trump's comments as well. No big deal. I've never seen Kamala Harris in person - had to laugh to hear Ann call her "freakishly short." I'm from Pennsylvania - will let you know if I win.
Here is a news item about two more women sacrificed on the altar of feminism:
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13987693/female-navy-members-killed-washington-yemen-crash-pictured.html
Wise Ann is right; girls don’t belong in the armed forces as well as in the police and firefighters.
In 2016, the polling atmosphere was akin to this: "We can't believe so many idiots think Trump should be President. Are you voting for him?"
I didn't watch any of the DNC, but I've heard or read that Obama made crude commentary similar to that that outraged Jake Tapper when spoken by Donald Trump. Is that true?
Why do I need to subscribe to Ricochet.com, when I pay to follow Ann Coulter on Substack.
You don't, obviously, as Ricochet keeps all of their podcasts in front of the paywall. But when you support them, you're supporting the production of this podcast.
You don’t have to.
And they are a den of cuckservatism, so please don’t support them.
Lileks and Long are Never Trumpers and have been since 2015. Robinson is just a naïf. (He thought Beto O’Rourke was an impressive candidate.)
Great job as usual! Your comment, “ there is a price to be paid for cowardice” is perfect. Perhaps you could add that to your line of swag.😎
Congratulations, Ann, for calling out the Error of the Majority Mindset.
For decades I’ve been listening to conservative leaders confidently proclaim that any day now “the American People” are going to rise up and correct the wrong-headed policies of the government. But none of them realized that the American People no longer were what the leader had always assumed — a White Christian majority.
That majority mindset remained while the percentage of Whites declined and the educated elite of that majority was educated to be universalist and egalitarian.
The only solution is to drop the failed nonsense of egalitarian and universalist ideologies. That is the past, just like “The American People” are.
The future is White Identity. There is no other way, especially in a world that is only 8% White.
No one’s going to be nice to us. (Nice is a White concept.) The world hates and envies us. Our successes make them feel bad, so they criticize us while demanding we acknowledge how great they are. We give them modern life and they respond by telling us we owe them more. Enough!
In Unity, not diversity, is strength.
I think anyone who takes Trump’s “whale psychiatrist” comment seriously should be deported and that person’s property confiscated to help save Social Security.
Ann in her first segment sounds like National Review, which editorialized that the best result would be a Republican Senate to block President Harris’s to-do list.
No wonder she’s on the Ricochet network, a Never Trumper redoubt.
Loved the podcast! But one thing I’d like to say on the subject of Michigan/Minnesota( sorry can’t remember which one) being angry that so many people have moved in because they can’t afford a house and you said you didn’t understand because if you have a house, your good, your house value goes up and you make money. My disagreement is not everybody owns a home, a lot of people rent. And it has become basically impossible for them to afford to buy a house. Rent has been absolutely ridiculous, I can understand anger from renters and young people getting a start, but home owners your right they’ve got a sweet deal.
I would vote for a woman President if there was a female Pat Buchanan out there somewhere, but none exist.