Allysia Finley: Trump Can Take Heart: Mark Zandi Says Harris Will Win
Excerpt:
… Naturally, Mr. Zandi forecast an economic Category 5 hurricane if Mr. Trump won.
The Republican’s policies, he predicted, would tank the economy and create 7.4% unemployment, soaring interest rates, deficits and inflation. GDP would fall 2.4% in “an unusually lengthy recession,” and “the average American household’s after-inflation income will stagnate, and stock prices and real house values will decline.”
Instead, the economy surged thanks to Mr. Trump’s tax cuts and deregulation. Unemployment fell to 3.5% in February 2020, the lowest in 50 years. The economy grew 8.3% during his first three years before the pandemic. Stocks, real incomes and housing values climbed. Inflation didn’t. Deficits as a share of the economy remained at historically normal levels until the pandemic.
Mr. Zandi predicted that a Democratic sweep in the 2020 election would supercharge economic growth, while interest rates would stay between 0.1% and 1.5%. He later commended the Democrats’ $1.9 trillion Covid blowout in March 2021, though he recommended more transfer payments.
When inflation heated up, in June 2021 Mr. Zandi said not to worry: “It is wrong to get all worked up over today’s high inflation. It will soon abate” and “moderate to between 2% and 3% by this time next year.” Inflation peaked at 9.1% in June 2022.
That’s pretty embarrassing — and there are loads more.
Read the whole thing here.
Thank you Ann for sad reminder of Zandi’s predictions. “Wrong” (To quote Mr. Trump at times of great restraint) Zandi was wrong. Yes. Covid may have been a “blow out”. But it sent the country into a downward spiral of impoverishness. The photo/picture of Ms. Harris’s lyin’ eyes and smugness, sitting next to (former?) President Biden—the CNN MarketsNow—piece says it all. They are lyin’ and the so called more “transfers” is worth remembering as fact that Zandi said it.
It is neck and neck as to who is the bigger fool — Zandi or Krugman.